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What can one million sampled ChatGPT messages a month reveal about work?

OpenAI's new dataset maps consumer messages to 165 work activities across nearly 100 countries. It shows a broader mix over time, but measures classified messages—not workers, jobs, productivity or outcomes.

By The Impact of AI Editorial Desk•Released 27 October 2026 at 01:06 GMT•4 min full report · 1 min summary•3 sources · view evidence

The short version

What happened
Signals v3.0 classifies a global sample of 1,000,000 consumer ChatGPT messages in each month from July 2024 through September 2026, from accounts with a declared age of at least 18.
Who it affects
Workers and educators may benefit from more transparent evidence about actual AI use, but policy decisions still need representative surveys and measured outcomes beyond one platform's prompts.
What remains unproven
Provider-specific consumer sample

Keep in mind

Provider-specific consumer sample

Excludes Enterprise and Codex

Messages are not unique users or tasks

Automated classifications can vary by language and context

Differential privacy adds noise

No productivity, wage, quality or employment outcome

Source analysis · 3 linked sources. Primary analysed source date: 26 October 2026.

Read the full report · 4 min The evidence, methods, implications and limitations

The dataset opens a useful window—not a labour census

OpenAI has released quarterly data linking work-related consumer ChatGPT messages to 165 O*NET intermediate work activities across nearly 100 countries. The methods document says every monthly global sample contains 1,000,000 messages from accounts with a declared age of at least 18, covering July 2024 to September 2026. Enterprise messages and Codex use are excluded, as are deleted accounts and people who did not allow training use.

That denominator makes Signals unusually large and repeatable, but the unit is a message, not a person or completed task. One worker can send many prompts; another may never use ChatGPT or may use a competing tool. The sample cannot estimate the share of workers using AI, jobs changed, time saved, pay, output quality or displacement. It describes what selected consumer traffic looked like after classification.[1][2][3]

Work prompts became less concentrated in the top activities

Among 74 countries observed in every quarter, the ten most common activities accounted for an average 51.1% of each country's classified work messages in the third quarter of 2026, down from 56.0% in the first quarter of 2025. OpenAI interprets the spread as countries becoming more specialized in the work they bring to ChatGPT. Different occupational mixes or differences in access could also produce the pattern.

For teachers, analysts and managers, the dataset can support better questions: which activities appear often, which rise or fall, and where a local survey or controlled evaluation is needed. It cannot tell whether a message helped. O*NET is a US occupational framework applied to global traffic, so a label may travel imperfectly across languages, informal work, public services and occupations organized differently elsewhere.[1]

The distinction that matters

From private messages to public statistics

Each stage protects privacy or enables comparison, while also narrowing what the numbers can mean.

Sample

1m eligible consumer messages each month

Large provider-specific traffic view

Classify

Automated work and O*NET labels

Comparable activity shares with label error

Protect

Withholding, weighting and privacy noise

Safer aggregates with added uncertainty

The published unit is a privacy-protected share of classified messages, not a count of workers or successful tasks. Source: OpenAI Economic ResearchSource: OpenAI SignalsSource: OpenAI Signals

Privacy protection and automated labels both shape the result

Researchers did not read raw message text. OpenAI says automated language-model classifiers operated on de-identified messages after personal information was removed. Daily weights adjust for changes in logging, small groups are withheld, and Gaussian noise provides message-level differential privacy before aggregated statistics are published. Fine-grained country-and-activity cells therefore have more sampling and privacy variation than global totals.

The categories—including work-relatedness, asking, doing and expressing—are inferred labels rather than user-reported facts. OpenAI produced the dataset from its own service and has a commercial interest in showing breadth of use. Transparent classifier validation by language, uncertainty intervals and outside replication would strengthen it. For now, Signals is a valuable public research input, provided analysts resist turning message shares into claims about worker benefit or economic transformation.[2][3]

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What this means for people

  • Workers and educators may benefit from more transparent evidence about actual AI use, but policy decisions still need representative surveys and measured outcomes beyond one platform's prompts.

Global context

Nearly 100 countries appear, but 74 were present in every quarter and the work taxonomy comes from US O*NET. Uneven access, language coverage and labour-market structure limit country comparisons.

What the evidence does not yet show

  • Provider-specific consumer sample
  • Excludes Enterprise and Codex
  • Messages are not unique users or tasks
  • Automated classifications can vary by language and context
  • Differential privacy adds noise
  • No productivity, wage, quality or employment outcome

What to watch next

  • Classifier accuracy by language and country
  • Uncertainty intervals for fine-grained cells
  • Independent linkage to representative labour statistics
  • Outcome studies on quality, time, pay and worker control

Living evidence record

Impact record IAI-09CEKY6

Explore the full tracker

Evidence stage

Observed

Confidence

Supported

Reporting basis

Source analysis

Independent or research support

Not yet

Record status

Monitoring

Last checked

27 October 2026

Source trail

3 direct sources across 1 source type.

People impact

Documented in this record.

Uncertainty

Limits and next checks are explicit.

Stages describe the evidence available—not whether a technology is good or bad. See the public method.

Related-source reporting disclosure

This record analyses 3 linked source records around the same underlying development. The extra records add method, date or context, but they do not by themselves constitute independent replication of every performance claim or predicted outcome.

Evidence trail

Sources used for this report

Links checked 27 October 2026

1OpenAI Economic Research• Official report• 26 October 2026• GlobalChatGPT's expanding world of workOpenAI's release describes work-related message shares across 165 O*NET intermediate work activities and nearly 100 countries. It is a descriptive study of one provider's consumer-product traffic, not a labour-force survey or outcome evaluation.2OpenAI Signals• Official report• 26 October 2026• GlobalSignals individual dataThe interactive primary source covers sampled consumer ChatGPT messages from July 2024 through September 2026 and explicitly excludes Enterprise and Codex use.3OpenAI Signals• Official report• 26 October 2026• GlobalOpenAI Signals v3.0 data dictionaryThe 41-page methods document states that each monthly global sample contains 1,000,000 messages from accounts with a declared age of at least 18, after exclusions, weighting, automated classification and differential-privacy processing.
Research question, topics and regions

What OpenAI Signals v3.0 can and cannot show about the work activities people bring to consumer ChatGPT

Topics: Work · Labour data · ChatGPT · Privacy · Skills

Regions: Global · United States

This report is labelled source analysis. We summarise and analyse source material in our own words; company statements remain attributed claims until independently supported. Translated summaries preserve the meaning of the original source and link back to it. Read our editorial standards.